DeutschArthur Hayes, co-founder of the crypto exchange BitMEX and one of the most influential voices in the scene, is causing a stir with his latest analysis. In a comprehensive blog post, the former trader explains why he believes a new bull market is imminent – and which crypto areas will be at the center of it.
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Hayes, known for his pointed forecasts, sees the US monetary policy as the main driver of a coming rally. The state is deliberately keeping the economy running through guaranteed orders in selected industries, such as the armaments sector. Although the era of unlimited money supply by the central banks is over, the government is keeping the markets moving through targeted lending and fiscal maneuvers.
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“It’s no longer about the money supply itself, but about who gets access to credit”, Hayes writes. “Trump will continue this model: targeted government demand, flanked by lending through banks like JPMorgan or Goldman Sachs.” The result: certain sectors are booming – and with them assets that are partially beyond the control of the government, especially Bitcoin. In the midst of this situation, Hayes recognizes a clear direction: “The new hype will unfold in the crypto space.”
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Why? Because excess capital is increasingly flowing into markets that develop quickly and flexibly despite government regulation – like the crypto market. Hayes assumes that stablecoin providers like Tether in particular will benefit from this. They would build up larger reserves – and in turn invest them in US government bonds. A system that, paradoxically, also benefits the US government. But Hayes does not stop at the macro view. He also gives an insight into the investment strategy of his own Maelstrom Fund. The focus is on Ethereum, DeFi projects and selected ERC-20 coins. “Ethereum has long been in the sights of Western institutions”, he explains.
“Bitcoin at 250,000 – Ether at 10,000 Dollars”
His price forecasts are bold – but not without calculation: Bitcoin is expected to reach $250,000 by the end of the year, Ethereum to crack the $10,000 mark. For Hayes, this is not speculation, but a logical consequence of the changing economic conditions. He is even more ambitious in his long-term forecast: The total market capitalization of the crypto sector will rise to 100 trillion US dollars by the end of 2028. That would be almost the same as today’s global stock market.
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With this vision, Hayes presents the crypto sector as a future pillar of the global financial system – and as a middle ground between state control and decentralized progress. The message to investors is clear: Those who get in now could be part of the next big boom. Whether these forecasts will come true remains to be seen. But the resonance shows that Hayes is hitting the nerve of the scene. In a market that is based on visions and trust, words like his are often the spark – for imagination, for price gains, or for both. (mck)
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