{"id":42466,"date":"2026-04-29T20:57:03","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T18:57:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/uncategorized\/bitcoin-this-uncomfortable-truth-hardly-anyone-talks-about\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T20:57:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T18:57:45","slug":"bitcoin-this-uncomfortable-truth-hardly-anyone-talks-about","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/en\/news-en\/bitcoin-this-uncomfortable-truth-hardly-anyone-talks-about\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin: This Uncomfortable Truth Hardly Anyone Talks About"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tension in the crypto market is rising. Bitcoin has been feeling its way upward for weeks, fighting through resistance levels, fueling hopes. But it&#8217;s precisely at this point that skepticism begins. One of the most well-known market observers, analyst Benjamin Cowen, warns against too much euphoria \u2013 and puts forward an uncomfortable thesis.<\/p>\n<div class=\"row row-collapse align-middle row-comparison\"  id=\"row-1840776583\">\n\n\n\t<div id=\"col-141021842\" class=\"col medium-3 small-6 large-3 small-col-first\"  >\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-inner\"  >\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\n\n  <div class=\"banner has-hover\" id=\"banner-1157214578\">\n          <div class=\"banner-inner fill\">\n        <div class=\"banner-bg fill\" >\n                                                \n                    <\/div>\n\t\t\n        <div class=\"banner-layers container\">\n            <div class=\"fill banner-link\"><\/div>            \n\n   <div id=\"text-box-403823999\" class=\"text-box banner-layer text-box-circle x50 md-x50 lg-x50 y50 md-y50 lg-y50 res-text\">\n                                <div class=\"text-box-content text dark\">\n              \n              <div class=\"text-inner text-center\">\n                  \n\n\t<div class=\"img has-hover x md-x lg-x y md-y lg-y\" id=\"image_941776936\">\n\t\t<a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/Bitvavo-Aktion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" >\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"img-inner dark\" >\n\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1020\" height=\"340\" src=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/bitvavo-mark-and-logo-black-1024x341.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/bitvavo-mark-and-logo-black-1024x341.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/bitvavo-mark-and-logo-black-300x100.png 300w, https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/bitvavo-mark-and-logo-black-768x256.png 768w, https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/bitvavo-mark-and-logo-black-1536x512.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/bitvavo-mark-and-logo-black-2048x683.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1020px) 100vw, 1020px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\t\t\n<style>\n#image_941776936 {\n  width: 100%;\n}\n<\/style>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\t<div class=\"img has-hover x md-x lg-x y md-y lg-y\" id=\"image_1614497101\">\n\t\t<a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/Bitvavo-Aktion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" >\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"img-inner dark\" >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\t\t\n<style>\n#image_1614497101 {\n  width: 80%;\n}\n<\/style>\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\n              <\/div>\n           <\/div>\n                            \n<style>\n#text-box-403823999 .text-box-content {\n  background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);\n  font-size: 100%;\n}\n#text-box-403823999 {\n  width: 100%;\n}\n<\/style>\n    <\/div>\n \n\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n            \n<style>\n#banner-1157214578 {\n  padding-top: 99.99%;\n  background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);\n}\n<\/style>\n  <\/div>\n\n\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n<style>\n#col-141021842 > .col-inner {\n  padding: 15px 15px 15px 15px;\n}\n<\/style>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n\n\t<div id=\"col-546374191\" class=\"col col-comparison-description medium-4 small-12 large-4\"  >\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-inner text-left\"  >\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\n<p style=\"margin-bottom: 1em;\">Bitvavo, one of the leading exchanges from Europe (Netherlands) with a large selection of cryptocurrencies. PayPal deposit possible.  <strong>Limited time offer: \u20ac20 bonus when you sign up via CoinPro.ch<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n<style>\n#col-546374191 > .col-inner {\n  padding: 15px 0px 0 15px;\n}\n@media (min-width:550px) {\n  #col-546374191 > .col-inner {\n    padding: 15px 0px 15px 15px;\n  }\n}\n<\/style>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n\n\t<div id=\"col-1248950206\" class=\"col col-comparison-stars medium-2 small-6 large-2 small-col-first\"  >\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-inner text-center\"  >\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 200%;\"><strong>98%<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n<span class=\"fsrs\"><span class=\"fsrs-stars\"><i class=\"fsrs-fas fa-fw fa-star \"><\/i><i class=\"fsrs-fas fa-fw fa-star \"><\/i><i class=\"fsrs-fas fa-fw fa-star \"><\/i><i class=\"fsrs-fas fa-fw fa-star \"><\/i><i class=\"fsrs-fas fa-fw fa-star \"><\/i><\/span><span class=\"hide fsrs-text fsrs-text__hidden\" aria-hidden=\"false\">5.0 out of 5.0 stars<\/span><span class=\"lining fsrs-text fsrs-text__visible\">5.0<\/span><\/span>\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/en\/reviews-en\/bitvavo-experiences-2025-the-crypto-exchange-under-review\/\">Read review<\/a><\/p>\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n<style>\n#col-1248950206 > .col-inner {\n  padding: 15px 15px 15px 15px;\n}\n<\/style>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n\n\t<div id=\"col-1302906874\" class=\"col medium-3 small-12 large-3\"  >\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-inner text-center\"  >\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\n\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/Bitvavo-Aktion\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"button primary box-shadow-2 expand no-margin\" rel=\"noopener\"  >\n\t\t<span>Sign up with a \u20ac20 bonus<\/span>\n\t<\/a>\n\n\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n<style>\n#col-1302906874 > .col-inner {\n  padding: 15px 15px 15px 15px;\n}\n<\/style>\n\t<\/div>\n\n\t\n\n<\/div>\n<p>In a recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=xtqv4gEWGv0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">YouTube video<\/a>, which has been widely reported in the industry, Cowen describes the situation as critical. The price has reached a zone that has historically proven to be a stumbling block time and again. A zone that decides between breakout or setback. Cowen refers to the so-called &#8220;bear market resistance band.&#8221; A term that sounds technical but has a clear meaning: this is where many recovery attempts have failed in the past. And history, according to his analysis, could repeat itself once again.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin: This Uncomfortable Truth Hardly Anyone Talks About<\/h2>\n<p>&#8220;Bitcoin has approached this bear market resistance zone multiple times this year \u2013 as in previous years,&#8221; Cowen explains, referring to earlier market phases. Particularly striking: the years 2018 and 2022. In both cases, the price reached similar levels \u2013 and ultimately bounced back. While there were brief breakouts, no sustainable trends emerged from them. For a real trend reversal, this pattern would need to be broken.<\/p>\n<p>According to Cowen, what would be crucial is not just a rise above this level, but above all holding above it. But that&#8217;s exactly what he doubts. &#8220;Breaking through is possible, but holding there is difficult,&#8221; is his assessment. A statement that captures the core of the analysis. Short-term gains are conceivable, but stability remains questionable. Another factor amplifies the uncertainty: the macroeconomic outlook. Cowen points to seasonal effects and political cycles.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Interesting: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/en\/news-en\/after-mega-hacks-why-defi-is-still-alive\/\">After Mega-Hacks: Why DeFi Continues to Survive<\/a><\/p>\n<p>In years with U.S. congressional elections, Bitcoin has historically struggled to establish sustainable uptrends. A coincidence? Possible. A pattern? Equally so. On top of that comes the development in the energy market. Rising energy prices could drive inflation \u2013 with direct consequences for monetary policy. &#8220;If energy prices rise, that means more inflation \u2013 and thus less room for interest rate cuts,&#8221; goes the argument. For risky assets like Bitcoin, that would be a clear headwind. The logic is simple: if interest rates remain high, less capital flows into speculative markets. Liquidity decreases, as does risk appetite.<\/p>\n<script type=\"text\/plain\" data-tcf=\"waiting-for-consent\" data-id=\"20572\" data-bid=\"1\" data-placement=\"33872\">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<\/script><h2>Coincidence or Pattern? BTC Hits Its Limit<\/h2>\n<p>This exact combination had already created considerable pressure in 2022. Cowen&#8217;s conclusion is accordingly cautious. &#8220;I expect the price to be rejected in this area.&#8221; A clear expectation: rejection rather than breakthrough. Not a crash scenario, but a possible dampener on the current upward movement. Particularly noteworthy, however, is another thought. Should even this moderate rise fail, it could reveal a deeper problem.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/en\/news-en\/ethereum-in-bitcoins-shadow-why-eth-is-currently-lagging-behind\/\">Ethereum in Bitcoin&#8217;s Shadow: Why ETH Is Currently Lagging Behind<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If Bitcoin can&#8217;t even manage this expected move, that would be a sign of weakness,&#8221; says Cowen. This puts the market at a classic turning point. Between hope and reality, between momentum and macroeconomic risks. The coming weeks could determine whether Bitcoin actually enters a new phase \u2013 or once again fails at a familiar hurdle. The stage is set. The outcome remains open. (mck)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tension in the crypto market is rising. Bitcoin has been feeling its way upward for weeks, fighting through resistance levels, fueling hopes. But it&#8217;s precisely at this point that skepticism begins. One of the most well-known market observers, analyst Benjamin Cowen, warns against too much euphoria \u2013 and puts forward an uncomfortable thesis. In a&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":41170,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[17315,17325],"tags":[17896,17387,17401],"class_list":["post-42466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin-en","category-news-en","tag-benjamin-cowen","tag-bitcoin-en","tag-bitcoin-news-en"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin: This Uncomfortable Truth Hardly Anyone Talks About - CoinPro.ch<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin is hitting a critical market zone &ndash; and analyst Benjamin Cowen is now warning of an uncomfortable truth:\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/en\/news-en\/bitcoin-this-uncomfortable-truth-hardly-anyone-talks-about\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin: This Uncomfortable Truth Hardly Anyone Talks About\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin is hitting a critical market zone &ndash; and analyst Benjamin Cowen is now warning of an uncomfortable truth:\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/en\/news-en\/bitcoin-this-uncomfortable-truth-hardly-anyone-talks-about\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CoinPro.ch\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/coinpro.ch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-29T18:57:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-29T18:57:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.coinpro.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Bitcoin-Kurs-steigt-ueber-88.000-USD-Darum-ist-BTC-hier-unterbewertet-Titelbild.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1333\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"M. 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